September 24, 2021 3 min read


F1 Russian Grand Prix Preview, Odds, Betting Pick

The 2021 season of the Formula 1 is slowly wrapping up, with eight more races left until the end. The one happening this Sunday in Russia is the penultimate European race in the F1 calendar. The Russian Grand Prix is an event that only Mercedes drivers have won the race so far – Lewis Hamilton (4), Valtteri Botas (2), and Nico Rosberg (1).

Winning the 2021 Russian GP is of utmost importance for Hamilton as he’s currently trailing behind Red Bull’s Max Verstappen by five points. What this means is that with a win on Sunday, the defending F1 champ would get back to the top of the Drivers’ Championship standings. The obvious question is will he do it?

F1 Russian GP Odds to Win

All odds are per DraftKings as of September 24.

Lewis Hamilton-165
Valtteri Bottas+260
Max Verstappen+600
Lando Norris+2200
Sergio Perez+2500
Daniel Ricciardo+2500
Charles Leclerc+8000
Pierre Gasly+8000
Carlos Sainz+8000

Where and When to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, September 26
  • Location: Sochi Autodrom in Sochi, Russia
  • Watch: ESPN

Hamilton to Take Advantage of Verstappen’s Grid Penalty?

The odds suggest the 2021 Russian GP is going to be a battle between two Mercedes drivers. Hamilton is the #1 favorite, ahead of his teammate, Valtteri Botas. Next in line is Max Verstappen, who’s the current F1 leader when drivers are concerned.

The odds on the Dutchman are +600, which may seem a bit disrespectful toward the Red Bull Racing star. However, there is a reason why the odds are so long.

The story goes that Verstappen is going to have to serve a three-place grid penalty in this race. What this means is that in order to stand any chance against the two Mercedes drivers, he will need to be the best in the qualifying classification.

If he pulls it off, he’ll start the race from the third position. Not too bad you might think, but he’s won only one race this year while starting from the position on the grid (2021 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix).

Can Botas Surprise the Oddsmakers?

By winning the Russian GP, Lewis Hamilton would get to the top of the Drivers’ Championship rankings, regardless of how Verstappen do in the race. It’s because the race winner gets seven points more than the runner-up. The current points difference between the two is only five points.

The question is can Hamilton win the race even with Verstappen starting it from the #3 position? The Dutch driver isn’t the only one Hamilton should be worried about. In fact, online sportsbooks think his biggest rival in Russia is going to be his teammate, Valtteri Botas.

It’s not only because Botas is a phenomenal driver; it’s also because he seems to like racing in Russia. In fact, he’s the one who’s won the Russian GP in the previous season.

On the downside, Botas’ recent form isn’t that great. Actually, he’s still without a win in the 2021 F1 season, with his best performance happening in June at Styrian Grand Prix when he finished second.

Pick: Lewis Hamilton to win the race


Jessie is our resident sports specialist with over 4 years of experience in sports journalism. She's worked with several prominent online sports news outlets in the past and has accrued specialist insight across a wide range of sports markets. Combined with her own love and excitement of sports, having competed at a national level during college, she aims to improve sports coverage value for our readers at GamblingNews.

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