November 29, 2022 3 min read


Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich UFC Odds, Time, and Prediction

Tai Tuivasa is a one-punch expert, who’s put to sleep a number of opponents so far in his one-decade-long professional career as an MMA fighter. In fact, 13 of his 14 wins happened by knockout/technical knockout. When it comes to his losses, two happened by KO/TKO, two by submission, and one by decision.

What’s interesting is that his two knockout defeats happened against players with a very long reach – Junior Dos Santos (77 inches) and Cyril Gane (81 inches).

This fact needs to worry him a lot because this Saturday, he’s squaring off against the man with the longest reach in the UFC. Sergei Pavlovich is the man in question, whose 84-inch reach is nine inches longer than Tuivasa’s.

Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich Odds


Tai Tuivasa+152
Sergei Pavlovich-180

*Odds taken from FanDuel on Tuesday, November 29.

When, Where, and How to Watch?

  • Place: Amway Center in Orlando, Florida
  • Date: Saturday, December 3, 2022
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Tai Tuivasa Wants to Bounce Back After Cyril Gane Loss

The last time Tai Tuivasa was inside the octagon was on September 3 in the capital of France. He fought France’s favorite son Ciryl Gane, who beat him by KO in a super-entertaining fight. Bon Gamin was way better fighter, but Tuivasa showed the world he loves to fight. He was fearless, going at his opponent and not caring about hard punches that were coming from the opposite way.

This strategy did not work against Gane, but it doesn’t mean that it won’t work against Pavlovich. We also know that Tuivasa has fists made of stone that can put literally anyone to sleep. If he hits Pavlovich properly, the Russian will fall.

What this means is that the Tuivasa vs Pavlovich fight comes down to this – if Pavlovich manages to dodge Tuivasa’s strikes, he’s probably going to win.

Can Sergei Pavlovich Keep His Hard-Punching Opponent at a Distance

With an Ape index of +9.0”, Pavlovich has the longest reach in the UFC. This is why no one should be surprised that he’s a great boxer who knows how to keep his opponents at a distance. His long arms and boxing skills helped him to beat such knockout artists, most notably, Derrick Lewis.

The only defeat Pavlovich has suffered so far happened against Alistair Overeem in what was the promotional debut for the Russian fighter. The Dutchman beat him by knockout in a fight that involved a lot of grappling and wrestling.

In fact, Overeem got the win from ground and pound. Pavlovich’s defense on the ground was horrible in that bout, but his skills have evolved since. He’s obviously learned his lesson, the evidence being that he’s suffered no takedowns since that fight.

Tai Tuivasa vs Sergei Pavlovich Prediction

Our prediction for this fight is that it won’t last long. One of these will knockout out the other one within 15 minutes. But who is it going to be? Pavlovich is the better fighter, but Tuivasa has the nuclear option in his fists.

That said, Tuivasa vs Pavlovich is really a coin toss. But since the bookies favor Pavlovich, the value lies in Tuivasa. Priced at +152, Bam Bam is our top pick.

Pick: Tai Tuivasa by knockout


Jessie is our resident sports specialist with over 4 years of experience in sports journalism. She's worked with several prominent online sports news outlets in the past and has accrued specialist insight across a wide range of sports markets. Combined with her own love and excitement of sports, having competed at a national level during college, she aims to improve sports coverage value for our readers at GamblingNews.

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