April 25, 2024 3 min read


2024 Kentucky Derby Odds, Time, and Prediction

Saturday, May 4, 2024, is when the 150th edition of the Kentucky Derby will take place at Churchill Downs.

The first Triple Crown event of 2024 will see a real battle among three-year-old runners in the 2024 Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 4. Sierra Leone and Fierceness are shared top favorites to win the race, each priced at +300. All the other horses come with Kentucky Derby odds of +1000 or longer, but history teaches us that anything can happen at Churchill Downs.

2024 Kentucky Derby Odds

Sierra Leone+300
Forever Young+1000
Catching Freedom+1200
Just A Touch+1600
Track Phantom+2000
Mystik Dan+2000
Honor Marie+2000
Domestic Product+2200
Just Steel+2500
Epic Ride+5000
Common Defense+6600
West Saratoga+6600
Society Man+6600
T O Password+7500
Grand Mo The First+7500
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When, Where, and How to Watch?

  • Place: Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky             
  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: NBC

2024 Kentucky Derby Favorites

Priced at +300 each, Sierra Leone and Fierceness are the top two favorites to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Trained by Chad Brown, Sierra Leone is sitting at the top of NTRA’s Top 3-Year-Old Poll.

Gun Runner’s son won the Keeneland Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes event a few weeks ago, which was his only fourth start. Before that, Sierra Leone’s best performance was at G2 Risen Star in February.

When it comes to Fierceness, this horse is also priced at +300. What makes Fierceness an attractive betting option is the fact that he’s one of only two 2024 Kentucky Derby runners with a Beyer Speed Figure rating of over 100+.

The other horse that belongs to this category is Mystik Dan, which comes with the Kentucky Derby odds of +2000.

Is Mystik Dan the Best Underdog Bet at the 2024 Kentucky Derby?

Mystik Dan is sharing the 6th spot on the list of the 2024 Kentucky Derby favorites with another four horses that are priced at +2000 at BetOnline Sportsbook. The reason we’re not sure bookies are right in thinking of Mystik Dan as an underdog is that this colt has a +100 Beyer Speed Figure.

Plus, Mystik Dan has already won four races, not to mention that he’s got a fantastic pedigree, coming from a long line of Grade 1 performers, including Laragh and Suiphonic.

We reckon that the reason why his odds are so long is that he finished third in the G1 Arkansas Derby in early April, which was the race he was expected to win.

2024 Kentucky Derby Prediction

Did you know that 11 of the last 14 Kentucky Derby winners had a Beyer Speed Figure rating of 100+ or higher? Knowing this, we suspect that Fierceness and Mystik Dan have a very good chance of triumphing at Churchill Downs.

It’s the latter we’re planning to back, the main reason being that his odds are fantastic. Mystik Dan might not win, but we’re confident he’ll place in the top three.

Pick: Mystik Dan


Jessie is our resident sports specialist with over 4 years of experience in sports journalism. She's worked with several prominent online sports news outlets in the past and has accrued specialist insight across a wide range of sports markets. Combined with her own love and excitement of sports, having competed at a national level during college, she aims to improve sports coverage value for our readers at GamblingNews.


  • Flipper Rodriguez
    April 25, 2024 at 8:33 pm

    Forever Young all the way.

  • Stephen Johnson
    April 25, 2024 at 9:04 pm

    I like your thinking!!!

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