Trump Appears as Contender in William Hill Odds for Nobel Prize

Appeasing Donald Trump could be a full-time job. His mood swings and gyrations are legendary, his ability to veer off on a tangent, and then never come back is a well-established fact, as is his discontent with the fact that he never won the Nobel Peace Prize.

Trump’s Nobel Prize’s Chance Slimmer Than in 2025

Now, though, William Hill believes that the man is still close to the prize, pinning his chances at 25%. The sportsbook has noted that last year, his odds were around 55%, but they have contracted since. 

The bookmaker’s spokesperson, Lee Phelps, commented on the latest odds and why the book kept track of the President:

“Although the Norwegian Nobel Committee has not confirmed that Donald Trump is among the 287 candidates for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, we make Trump the leading contender to take this year’s award.

Although this year’s Nobel Peace Prize is not announced until October, we would expect Trump’s name to remain in the frame all the way up to the Committee’s announcement.” 

Part of Trump’s diminished chances has to do with the fact that he joined Israel in what appears to be a full-scale war against Iran, and the subsequent geopolitical mayhem makes him an unlikely candidate to scoop this year’s prize, unless the Committee is thinking that it may appease the man.

Appeasement of Trump’s mercurial mood, though, is not something the smart bettors would be betting on. In the meantime, prediction markets, of which President Trump is sympathetic, appear to be expecting the man to end his term prematurely.