The 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 is a road-course event that will take place at Sonoma Raceway in Northern California, on Sunday, July 13.
This is a 1.99‑mile track with 12 turns and big elevation shifts – about 160 feet of climbing and descending. This makes it a somewhat unique event on the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series calendar.
The races that are somewhat similar include the Straight Talk Wireless 400 (won by Kyle Larson) and the Grant Park 165 (won by Shane van Gisbergen). This explains why these two are in the top two on the list of 2025 Sonoma favorites.
2025 Grant Park 165 Odds
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Shane Van Gisbergen | +150 |
| Kyle Larson | +500 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1100 |
| Michael McDowell | +1100 |
| William Byron | +1200 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1400 |
| Christopher Bell | +1400 |
| Chase Elliott | +1400 |
| Chris Buescher | +1400 |
| AJ Allmendinger | +1800 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: Sonoma Raceway in Sonoma, California
- Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: TNT
Reasons Why SVG is Bookies’ Top 2025 Sonoma Pick
Shane van Gisbergen is the clear favorite heading into the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 with +150 Sonoma odds. The Kiwi thrives on road courses like Sonoma, where precision and car control matter more than raw speed.
In fact, he won the 2024 Zip Buy Now, Pay Later 250 here while competing in the Xfinity Series, so he knows the track well.
Fast forward to his rookie Cup Series season, and he’s already collected two wins. This includes last Sunday’s Chicago Street Race (Grant Park 165) – which we rightly predicted. He was our pick and those who listened to our advice made a +150 profit.
Can Kyle Larson Win the Toyota/Save Mart 350 Again?
Kyle Larson is always a threat at Sonoma, and with two career wins here, including one last year. He’s one of the most complete drivers in NASCAR, and his three wins this season prove it.
The only issue? His last trip to victory lane came back in early May in Kansas. Since then, his best finish was the No. 5 position in Michigan. That said, Sonoma might be the perfect place for a bounce-back.
He’s got the experience, the pace, and the hunger to get it done. In fact, he’d be the top favorite to win on July 13 if SVG wasn’t in the mix. This way, Larson is second on the list of 2025 Sonoma favorites, priced at +500.
Best 2025 Sonoma Upset Picks
It’s been a while since online sportsbooks were giving odds shorter than +1000 to just two drivers. In this case, it’s SVG and Larson, while everyone else has 4-figure odds. But this only means that if a surprise is going to happen, there’s a lot of money to be made.
So, which 2025 Sonoma upset bets are the best? Here are a couple of them:
- Tyler Reddick (+1400) – The 2025 Sonora race is the third event in the NASCAR In-Season Challenge, which Reddick is favored to win. He finished in the top 3 in the first two races and is eager to continue performing great.
- Chris Buescher – He’s got a knack for road courses, especially the one at Sonoma. The evidence is that he finished in the top 4 in the last three editions of this event, that is, in each race since Sonoma switched to the current 1.99-mile layout (in 2022).
- AJ Allmendinger (+1800) – He finished second in the Xfinity race here two years ago and grabbed 6th in last year’s Cup Series event. He hasn’t done much in 2025, but this could be his opportunity to get on the podium for the first time since October 2023.
In addition to those, we also think that Ty Gibbs (+1100) stands a chance, as well as Michael McDowell (+1100) and William Byron (+1200).
2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Prediction
Our 2025 Sonoma pick is Shane van Gisbergen. This is an ideal course for him, and he’s already mastered it once last year. We think he’s going to win his second race in a row, and bookies agree with us – he’s the top favorite with +150 odds.
Pick: Shane van Gisbergen