Prediction Markets
February 26, 2026
MrBeast Editor Banned for Insider Trading on Kalshi Markets
As the prediction market in the US keeps growing, so do concerns about participants using insider information. This week, Kalshi revealed its first high-profile enforcement actions, suspending two users for violating trading rules. “Near-Perfect” Wins Trigger $20K Fine The first case involves Artem Kaptur, a video editor who worked for YouTube personality MrBeast. Kaptur allegedly […]
Prediction Markets
February 23, 2026
Kalshi Ordered to Stop Contracts in Nevada Dispute
The legal battle between Nevada gaming regulators and New York-based prediction market KalshiEx LLC may soon reach the US Supreme Court. Kalshi, a financial services company that operates a derivatives exchange and sells what it calls “event contracts,” was ordered to stop issuing contracts following a recent ruling from the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. […]
Prediction Markets
February 23, 2026
Obama Says Aliens Are Real, But Prediction Market Users Remain Skeptical
Obama recently said that he believes aliens are real, sparking a new wave of interest in extraterrestrial life. The statement was only reinforced by Trump’s vow to release alien-related files. This, of course, led to a surge in prediction market activity, revealing that traders are not fully convinced. Obama and Trump Suggest Aliens Might Be […]
Prediction Markets
February 23, 2026
Tradeweb Partners with Kalshi to Bring Prediction Markets to Institutions
Tradeweb Markets has formed a strategic alliance with Kalshi aimed at introducing prediction-market intelligence to a broader base of institutional investors. This reflects growing interest in event-driven financial signals across global markets. Tradeweb–Kalshi Deal Signals Growing Institutional Demand for Forecast Data Under the arrangement, Tradeweb will integrate Kalshi’s event-based probability data into its electronic trading […]
Prediction Markets
February 20, 2026
US Federal Reserve Acknowledges Kalshi as a Strong Forecasting Tool
The US Federal Reserve Board has admitted that Kalshi is a reliable tool for economic forecasting. In its latest report, the board analyzed the matter and suggested a few reasons why prediction markets like Kalshi are better than traditional polling, at least in certain aspects. However, the board added that prediction markets are not ready […]
Prediction Markets
February 20, 2026
Kalshi Wins Key Ruling on Sports Event Contracts in Tennessee
Kalshi has finally scored a legal win on Thursday, February 19, 2026, after a long string of court setbacks. A federal judge in Tennessee made it clear: the company’s sports event contracts qualify as swaps under the Commodities Exchange Act (CEA), allowing the prediction market operator to continue offering them. “Kalshi Has No Interest in […]
Legal
February 18, 2026
Nevada Sues Kalshi in Escalating Battle over Sports Event Contracts
Kalshi’s efforts to establish itself as a nationwide sports event contract operator have hit a wall in Nevada, where state regulators have launched a fresh legal challenge to restrict the platform. On Tuesday, the Nevada Gaming Control Board filed suit to block the New York-based company from offering contracts tied to professional and collegiate sports. […]
Prediction Markets
February 18, 2026
CFTC Backs Prediction Markets as US States Fight Back
The US derivatives watchdog is stepping up to defend prediction markets as legal fights with state authorities heat up. Michael Selig, who heads the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), said the agency filed a brief supporting Crypto.com in a case at the Ninth US Circuit Court of Appeals. This move points to a wider push […]
Prediction Markets
February 12, 2026
Mark Wahlberg Rumor Drives $24M Action on Prediction Markets
A Kalshi prediction on whether Mark Wahlberg would attend Super Bowl LX has been resolved. At the conclusion of the market, the trading probability of “No” was at 98%, which turned out to be correct. Even though the New England Patriots were playing, whom Wahlberg is known as a big fan of, the actor did […]
Prediction Markets
February 11, 2026
Kalshi Faces Renewed Scrutiny in Its Tennessee Legal Battle
Kalshi’s efforts to continue offering sports prediction contracts in Tennessee have encountered a new obstacle as renewed skepticism in federal court may threaten the platform’s nationwide ambitions. Recent proceedings in the dispute between Kalshi and the Tennessee Sports Wagering Council highlighted that the court remains unconvinced that betting on game outcomes falls under federal derivatives […]
