Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford Boxing Odds, Time, and Prediction

The long-rumored Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford superfight is finally official. The unified super middleweight title fight will go down on September 13 at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas, with global streaming available exclusively on Netflix at no extra cost.

Alvarez (63-2-2) brings his belts and legacy to the ring, while Crawford (41-0) moves up in weight looking to shock the world and add another chapter to his already legendary run. And guess who’s promoting it? None other than the UFC boss Dana White, who’s stepping into boxing again under the TKO Boxing banner.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford Odds

181 players claimed the offer this month

50% up to $1000

bet now

When, Where, and How to Watch?

• Place: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada
• Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
• Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
• How to Watch: Netflix

Early Betting Odds Favor Canelo Alvarez

Betting markets opened shortly after the fight was confirmed and based on that, Canelo is more likely to win. Canelo’s odds of -170 make him the favorite, the main reason being that his resume is unmatched in boxing of today.

He’s the undisputed super middleweight champion who has defeated the who’s who of the sport, including Caleb Plant, Gennady Golovkin, and dozens of others.

Canelo’s got only two losses in his portfolio, both of which happened to legendary opponents – Floyd Mayweather (majority decision) and Dmitry Bivol (unanimous decision). The loss to Bivol happened three years ago, but since then, Canelo is 6-0.

Each of those wins happened by a decision which is a testament to his strategic boxing style. He’s famous for his high fight IQ, which combined with his agility and a chin made of concrete make him impossible to knock out.

No one’s done it before, but Terence Crawford is determined to change that. Betting odds suggest otherwise, but this guy has the nuclear option in his fists.

Can Terence Crawford Upset the Odds?

Terence “Bud” Crawford (41-0, 31 KOs) is the closest thing to untouchable in boxing right now. The Omaha native won the WBA and WBO interim light middleweight titles last year by beating Israil Madrimov by unanimous decision. A year before, he dismantled Errol Spence Jr. in a way no one predicted, dropping him three times and making it look easy.

What makes him special isn’t just the power or the speed, it’s the adaptability. Southpaw or orthodox, counter or pressure, long-range or inside, Crawford can do it all. He’s a high-IQ fighter with a dog in him, and unlike many slick boxers, he finishes fights. His knockout-to-win ratio of 75.60% is one of the highest in elite boxing.

The only issue ahead of the Alvarez fight? He hasn’t fought above 147, and jumping straight to Canelo’s 168 territory is asking a lot.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford Prediction

Our pick is Canelo, and we’ll now explain how we predict the fight will go. Crawford will frustrate Alvarez early, keeping the fight at range and staking up points. But we think the 37-year-old American will gas out, especially after eating some of Canelo’s powerful body punches.

If the fight goes for the full 12 rounds, our prediction is that Canelo will edge a razor-thin decision. But if Crawford fades, Canelo will get a late stoppage win.

Pick: Canelo Alvarez