Amanda Serrano vs. Katie Taylor Odds, Time, and Prediction

Katie Taylor is the undisputed super lightweight title, but Amanda Serrano has set her eyes on those belts. When she tried to take what’s Taylor’s, it did not go well – she lost to the Irish boxer by unanimous decision last November.

Something similar happened two years before, in their first fight, which Taylor won by split decision. Will it be the third time’s the charm for Serano on July 11? Read this preview until the end to see our prediction and top pick.

Amanda Serrano vs. Katie Taylor Odds

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When, Where, and How to Watch?

• Place: Maddison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
• How to Watch: Netflix

Amanda Serrano’s Odds Suggest She’ll (Finally) Beat Katie Taylor

Amanda Serrano is a relentless pressure fighter with serious knockout power and one of the most decorated resumes in women’s boxing.

But despite her dominance across multiple weight classes, Katie Taylor remains her kryptonite – she’s 0-2 against the Irishwoman. Serrano did come close in their first fight in 2022, losing a razor-thin split decision.

She fell short again in the rematch, although she didn’t look as good as the first time around. But she’s ready to finally dethrone Taylor and odds favor her to do it. 

At the age of 36, Serrano believes there’s a bright future ahead of her. She’s just signed with Most Valuable Promotions (MVP), Jake Paul’s outfit, signaling she’s all-in on one last run.

Speaking of Jake Paul, he just made a bet with Mike Tyson for $1,000,000. His pick is Serrano. Iron Mike’s? Katie Taylor.

Can Katie Taylor Keep Winning?

Katie Taylor may have just turned 39, but she’s still one of the sharpest technicians in women’s boxing. With a 24-1 record, she’s got every right to dream of the GOAT status in women’s boxing.

She’s faced the who’s who in several weight classes, and her only loss happened two years ago against Chantelle Cameron (decision). She avenged it just months later, and in 2024, she followed up that redemption win by beating Amanda Serrano.

Taylor is a well-rounded fighter whose fight IQ is her strongest weapon. Serrano will come charging forward like always, but Taylor’s composure and counterpunching have consistently kept her one step ahead. It worked before, but will it work on July 11?

Amanda Serrano vs. Katie Taylor Prediction

Our prediction for the Serrano vs. Taylor III bout is that Jake Paul will lose $1M. He’s backing Serrano to win, but we think she’s heading for another loss. Taylor’s precision and mental edge still give her the upper hand in what could be her most defining win of the trilogy.

Pick: Katie Taylor