2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds, Time, and Prediction

The big question ahead of the July 4 competition is will Joey Chestnut will compete in 2025? The answer is yes! After a one-year suspension due to sponsorship issues, the 16-time winner is back. And he’s a huge favorite to win his 11^th title – his Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds are -3000.

2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds

52 players claimed the offer this month

125% up to $2500

bet now

When, Where, and How to Watch?

• Place: Nathan’s Famous Restaurant in Coney Island in Brooklyn, New York City
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
• How to Watch: ESPN

Reasons why Joey Chestnut is Favored to Win the 2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

If you’re wondering why his betting odds are -3000, it’s because he’s the GOAT of competitive eating. The 41-year-old has won this competition on 16 occasions, which makes him the most successful male contestant in the history of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest (Miki Sudo has 10 wins in women’s contest).

He was favored to win his 17^th title last year, but due to sponsorship issues, he wasn’t able to take part. Chestnut didn’t let the event go without him, though. In a parallel non-sponsored event, he ate 57 hot dog buns that day in just five minutes.

That really is an impressive feat, given that a year before, he ate 62 HDBs in 10 minutes in the 2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.

His personal record stands at 76 buns, which he set in 2021. This begs the question of whether we’ll see him break the record on the 4^th of July.

Can Someone Ruin the 4^th of July for Joey Chestnut?

The short answer is no. Joey Chestnut is the guy who won 16 of the last 18 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Last year he didn’t win it because he wasn’t allowed to compete. Patrick Bertoletti took advantage of this and won the Mustard Yellow Belt after eating 58 HDBs in 10 minutes.

Before that, the only man to break Joey Chestnut’s winning run was Matt Stonie, who did it in 2015. He ate 62 HDBs, which was two more than Joey. While he’s still in the competitive-eating universe, Stonie is more focused on his YouTube channel and won’t participate in the 2025 contest.

This leaves Bertoletti – the defending champ – as the only previous winner aside from legendary “Jaws” Chestnut.

2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

Joey Chestnut is our pick. We’re almost 100% certain he’s going to win on Friday. Bookies seem to be convinced of this as well, which is why his 2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest odds are -3000. This means that in order to win $100, you need to wager $3,000.

If that’s too much for you, we have an alternative betting suggestion. Some online sportsbooks are offering the market “2025 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Winner Without Joey Chestnut.”

Basically, you’re betting on who’s going to finish second. So, we will it be? Our pick is Patrick Bertoletti, who’s the best of the rest. The odds for this are +150.

Pick: Joey Chestnut to Win, Patrick Bertoletti to Finish Second