The USMNT vs. Mexico Gold Cup odds are incredibly close, suggesting that we’ll witness a real thriller in Houston this coming Sunday. In fact, some bookies favor the United States, while on some online sportsbooks, the Mexicans are seen as betting favorites.
It seems like a coin toss but don’t leave it up for chance. If you wish to bet on the 2025 Gold Cup Final, get all the info you need by reading our preview.
USMNT vs. Mexico Odds
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| United States | +175 |
| Tie | +195 |
| Mexico | +175 |
| Goals | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | +125 |
| Under 2.5 | -167 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
- Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: FOX
Will Mauricio Pochettino’s USMNT Era Start With a Trophy?
Widely considered one of the tactical masters of the soccer world, Mauricio Pochettino started his career as the USMNT boss with a 5:0 demolition of Trinidad & Tobago in the first round of the 2025 Gold Cup.
Next came a 1:0 win over Saudi Arabia, followed by a 2:1 win over Haiti. After going 100% in the group phase, the Americans struggled a bit against Costa Rica in the first round of the knockout phase – they won the game only after penalties.
As we correctly predicted, it was a draw at the end of 90 minutes. The odds for this were +330.
In their most recent game, we saw the USMNT beat Guatemala 2:1. They got the job done, but they weren’t too impressive in that game. Real Salt Lake’s midfielder Diego Luna scored both of their goals, but his teammates did not do much. In fact, they struggled a lot to keep the opposition away from their goal.
In the end, Guatemala had 20 goal attempts, but luckily for the US players, only one went in. This is something that should worry them a lot ahead of the 2025 Gold Cup Final as they’re squaring off against Mexico, whose players are way more lethal than those of Guatemala.
Can Mexico Ruin the USMNT Party in Houston?
The 2025 Gold Cup Final will take place in Houston, but this doesn’t mean that the USMNT will have the crowd on their side. The thing is that roughly 45% of the city’s population identifies as Hispanic, and most of them are of Mexican heritage.
Plus, Mexicans love soccer way more than Americans do. Soccer is the No. 1 most favorite sport in this nation, while in the US, it’s behind American football, basketball, and baseball.
But even if the crowd is against them, the Mexican national team will still put on a good show. That’s our prediction based on the fact that they’ve been brilliant so far in the 2025 Gold Cup.
They did play 0:0 with Costa Rica in the final game of the group phase, but before that, they beat Suriname 2:0 and the Dominican Republic 3:2. In the knockouts, they beat Saudi Arabia 2:0 and Honduras 1:0.
USMNT vs. Mexico Prediction
Our pick is that Mexico will win the 2025 Gold Cup. It’s just that Mexico’s players are way better than those currently under Pochettino’s command.
The thing is that most of Mexico’s best players are in the US at the moment, including the top 4 most valuable Mexican players in the world today – Santiago Gimenez, Edson Alvarez, Johan Vasquez, and Julian Quinones.
When it comes to the USMNT, they’re missing their biggest stars – Christian Pulisic, Antonee Robinson, and others.
Pick: Mexico