Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira 2 is the rematch of the fight that brought Ank the UFC Light Heavyweight title. He beat “Poatan” by unanimous decision in that fight, and based on UFC 320 odds, he’s going to do something similar again. Oddsmakers see him as a -200 favorite to win the October 4 fight, which is interesting, given that in their first fight, he was a +100 underdog.
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira Odds
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| Magomed Ankalaev | -200 |
| Alex Pereira | +170 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: T-Mobile Arena in Vegas
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Reasons Why Magomed Ankalaev Is an Odds-On Favorite
Magomed Ankalaev has 20 wins in his portfolio, along with one draw and one no contest. He also has one loss that happened against Paul Craig, who beat him with a triangle choke.
Grappling might not be his forte, but against Alex Pereria, he shouldn’t worry about it. Same as their first duel, the UFC 320 main event is bound to be a kickboxing duel.
In the Ankalaev vs. Pereira 1 fight, the Dagestani fighter landed 18 significant shots more than his opponent. It might not seem much, but he did cause enough damage to win over the judges.
He dominated the fight, putting on plenty of forward pressure, as well as establishing control in the clinch. This managed to drain Pereira, who didn’t have much energy in the closing rounds, when he needed a KO.
Has “Poatan” Learned His Lesson?
Alex Pereira is arguably the best striker in the UFC. He’s a former kickboxing champ who’s 12-3 in pro MMA with 10 wins by KO/TKO. The Brazilian fighter won the title in 2023 with a TKO win over Jiri Prochazka.
Then, he knocked out Jamahal Hill, followed by another TKO win over Prochazka and a win over Khalil Rountree by the same method. It’s an impressive portfolio, even more impressive than the one of Ankalaev.
So, what went wrong for Pereira in the fight with Ank? He got outsmart by the Dagestani, whose grit and smart fight strategy cut off Pereira’s offense.
Our UFC 320 prediction is that he’s going to take a different approach this time. The Brazilian will probably look to keep range with kicks to prevent Ank from closing distance like he did the last time.
He’ll probably need to prepare himself for another 5-round war, in which he needs to do well in battles in Rounds 3-5.
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira Prediction
Oddsmakers think it’s Ankalaev who’s going to win on October 4, but our UFC 320 prediction is just the opposite. We think Pereira will get his belt back. It’s not going to be easy, and he’ll have to use another approach.
Rather than rushing for a KO win, he’ll need to fight smart and look for out-strike his rival. Our prediction is that he will pull it off, winning the fight by unanimous decision in the end.
Pick: Alex Pereira by Decision